Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000690 0.000790 0.000897 0.001019 0.001153 0.001295 0.001459
2025-02-16 0.000522 0.000659 0.000815 0.001005 0.001227 0.001478 0.001781
2025-02-23 0.000443 0.000597 0.000781 0.001015 0.001299 0.001631 0.002046
2025-03-02 0.000382 0.000547 0.000753 0.001023 0.001363 0.001773 0.002297
2025-03-09 0.000320 0.000485 0.000700 0.000993 0.001372 0.001842 0.002456
2025-03-16 0.000269 0.000432 0.000652 0.000962 0.001376 0.001899 0.002599
2025-03-23 0.000237 0.000401 0.000629 0.000960 0.001413 0.001998 0.002794
2025-03-30 0.000210 0.000374 0.000609 0.000960 0.001451 0.002096 0.002989
2025-04-06 0.000185 0.000345 0.000585 0.000951 0.001474 0.002175 0.003158
2025-04-13 0.000161 0.000317 0.000557 0.000933 0.001483 0.002233 0.003301
2025-04-20 0.000150 0.000307 0.000556 0.000955 0.001548 0.002367 0.003548
2025-04-27 0.000138 0.000295 0.000551 0.000969 0.001602 0.002487 0.003777
2025-05-04 0.000120 0.000271 0.000526 0.000952 0.001610 0.002544 0.003923
2025-05-11 0.000104 0.000248 0.000499 0.000931 0.001610 0.002590 0.004054
2025-05-18 0.000096 0.000238 0.000494 0.000942 0.001659 0.002705 0.004285
2025-05-25 0.000087 0.000228 0.000487 0.000950 0.001702 0.002812 0.004505
2025-06-01 0.000075 0.000206 0.000459 0.000921 0.001686 0.002833 0.004601
2025-06-08 0.000064 0.000187 0.000432 0.000892 0.001669 0.002849 0.004690
2025-06-15 0.000057 0.000177 0.000421 0.000891 0.001694 0.002929 0.004874
2025-06-22 0.000051 0.000167 0.000412 0.000890 0.001721 0.003013 0.005064
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000157 0.000398 0.000882 0.001734 0.003075 0.005221
2025-07-06 0.000040 0.000145 0.000381 0.000865 0.001732 0.003112 0.005343
2025-07-13 0.000037 0.000142 0.000384 0.000886 0.001795 0.003252 0.005621